TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 5:17 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored in the first half of a college football game between Duquesne and Washington State. Each threshold represents a specific level of scoring performance that, if exceeded, determines the outcome of that particular market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first half of the Duquesne vs Washington State college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 47.5 points); if the combined first-half score exceeds the threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first half count toward these markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, whereas prediction markets allow traders to directly assess probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market can dynamically adjust as new information emerges and more traders participate. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume is traded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the first half total going over or under the implied line. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect real-time sentiment and information regarding the upcoming game.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total for the Duquesne vs Washington State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official score posted by the governing body of college basketball. The market will determine whether the first half total goes over or under the implied line, based on the official result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Duquesne or Washington State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the style of play, could also move the market. Unexpected lineup changes or adjustments to coaching strategies announced close to game time could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, early game performance – even in the first few minutes – could trigger adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events.