TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 6:39 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Premier Division (Ireland) game, scheduled for September 18 at 2:45 PM ET.
More markets for the Premier Division (Ireland) game, scheduled for September 18 at 2:45 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market's probabilities are driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market odds and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s common to see convergence as the event draws nearer, with both sets of odds aligning as more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the collective forecast. The market’s efficiency relies on the active involvement of informed traders and the availability of relevant information regarding the teams and the match itself.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dundalk FC versus Shelbourne FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Dundalk, a win for Shelbourne, or a draw – actually occurred during the scheduled match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Dundalk FC or Shelbourne FC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift probabilities. Even weather forecasts, particularly if adverse conditions are predicted, might impact the perceived likelihood of different outcomes. Finally, any public statements from team managers or players could provide insights that influence trader sentiment and move the market.