TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 4:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Denzel Dumfries and Virgil van Dijk are listed in Netherlands's starting XI for the Netherlands vs Sweden World Cup match scheduled for June 20, 2026, 17:00 UTC, as recorded in the Lineup section of the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 20, 2026, 12:00 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Denzel Dumfries and Virgil van Dijk are listed in Netherlands's starting XI for the Netherlands vs Sweden World Cup match scheduled for June 20, 2026, 17:00 UTC, as recorded in the Lineup section of the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 20, 2026, 12:00 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market's odds represent a consensus forecast from participants who profit or lose based on accuracy. Comparing this outcome to sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees edge; prediction markets tend to be efficient at pricing widely-followed events, though individual markets may lag or lead depending on information flow and trader sophistication.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, once the Netherlands versus Sweden match concludes and the starting lineups are confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources, including official team sheets and broadcast records. A yes resolution requires both Dumfries and Van Dijk to appear in the starting eleven; any substitution or absence before kickoff triggers a no outcome. Resolution is typically swift after the match begins, as lineup information becomes public and verifiable.
Team news and injury updates are the primary drivers of movement in this market. Official squad announcements, manager statements, or reports of fitness concerns involving either player can shift odds sharply. Pre-match press conferences often contain hints about selection decisions. Late-breaking tactical changes or unexpected absences due to illness or discipline could also trigger repricing. Social media and sports news outlets will amplify any credible signals, giving traders time to adjust positions before kickoff. The closer to match day, the more stable the odds typically become as uncertainty resolves.