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Duke vs Illinois: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Duke vs Illinois?

Volume:
$458,900

Duke wins by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

Duke wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 7:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Duke wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,233
N/A
N/A
$27,753
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Duke wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,714
N/A
N/A
$9,593
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Duke wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,124
N/A
N/A
$7,431
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$91,257
N/A
N/A
$78,133
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,422
N/A
N/A
$56,789
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,921
N/A
N/A
$38,225
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 24.5 points

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,530
N/A
N/A
$19,832
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,721
N/A
N/A
$14,608
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,202
N/A
N/A
$11,638
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,126
N/A
N/A
$7,262
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,087
N/A
N/A
$8,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,070
N/A
N/A
$12,415
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,643
N/A
N/A
$8,857
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,397
N/A
N/A
$8,257
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,014
N/A
N/A
$7,963
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,669
N/A
N/A
$6,370
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,660
N/A
N/A
$4,537
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,514
N/A
N/A
$6,375
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,594
N/A
N/A
$3,604
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 16.5 points

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,161
N/A
N/A
$4,094
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,144
N/A
N/A
$1,875
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,973
N/A
N/A
$1,916
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,436
N/A
N/A
$2,293
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,916
N/A
N/A
$1,363
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 27.5 points

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,909
N/A
N/A
$1,421
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Duke and Illinois, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, determining whether the winning team exceeds that margin.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Duke vs Illinois college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. If Illinois wins by exceeding the specified point margin listed in the market title, that market resolves to Yes; if Duke wins by exceeding the corresponding margin, the respective Duke market resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their market's threshold, all markets resolve to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve per the updated result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Duke vs Illinois spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $399,520. The total volume traded on this market is $458,900. This allows you to see how much activity there is and understand where traders currently believe the spread will land. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the collective prediction of participants.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often be more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting and build in a profit margin, while this market represents what traders are willing to pay to bet on a specific outcome. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and analytical approaches between individual bettors and professional oddsmakers.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective beliefs of all participants. The current price represents the market’s best estimate of the likelihood of each spread.

This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Duke vs Illinois basketball game. The platform will then verify the outcome against credible public sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Duke or Illinois would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in the game's location could also shift the market. As the game day approaches, any updates from team practices or pre-game analyses will likely contribute to price fluctuations in this market.