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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Duke vs Illinois: 2nd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Duke vs Illinois?

Volume:
$8,699

Illinois wins 2Q by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

Illinois wins 2Q by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 5:26 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Illinois wins 2Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,484
N/A
N/A
$2,123
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins 2Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,911
N/A
N/A
$1,384
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins 2Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,800
N/A
N/A
$1,663
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins 2Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$446
N/A
N/A
$446
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins 2Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$385
N/A
N/A
$384
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins 2Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
$362
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins 2Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
$331
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins 2Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$327
N/A
N/A
$327
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins 2Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$327
N/A
N/A
$327
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins 2Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
$326
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in a specific half of their game, focusing solely on the point differential during that period. It allows participants to speculate on which team will dominate at various margin thresholds in the second quarter of play.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the point differential between Duke and Illinois specifically during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different margin threshold, with outcomes ranging from narrow leads of over 2.5 points to larger margins exceeding 10.5 points, applicable to either team. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the likely outcome. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi may converge or diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new data than traditional betting venues.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Duke vs Illinois second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential spread.

This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second quarter spread of the Duke vs Illinois game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range specified by each contract. All trading will cease once the outcome is officially determined.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Duke or Illinois teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, unexpected weather conditions, or even public sentiment shifts based on pre-game analysis could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Keep an eye on these signals as the game approaches.