TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack
Volume:
$3,694,074
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Duke Blue Devils and North Carolina State Wolfpack scheduled for March 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread (-9.5 Duke), and multiple over/under totals (148.5, 149.5, 150.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Duke win or NC State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely due to the logical impossibility in its resolution structure. Trade Polymarket's moneyline instead, which uses mutually exclusive outcomes. All over/under markets on both platforms are consistent and resolvable based on combined final score including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market maps both Duke win and NC State win to Yes resolution. This creates a logical contradiction where the market cannot distinguish between the two possible outcomes. Quote: 'If Duke wins...resolves to Yes. If North Carolina St. wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market uses mutually exclusive outcomes: Duke win resolves to Duke Blue Devils, NC State win resolves to North Carolina State Wolfpack. Logically sound and resolvable. Quote: 'If the Duke Blue Devils win, the market will resolve to Duke Blue Devils. If the North Carolina State Wolfpack win, the market will resolve to North Carolina State Wolfpack.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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