TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 3:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Germany's third-tier league. The result depends solely on which team wins after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends with both teams scoring the same number of goals, it is considered a tie.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Duisburg vs Havelse professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for September 15, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Duisburg win, Havelse win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a win for either Duisburg or Havelse within this timeframe, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution strictly follows the regulation time result, with no consideration given to post-regulation proceedings such as extra time, penalty shootouts, or administrative decisions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and marketing considerations into their lines, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events related to the teams involved. Comparing these odds can reveal where the crowd believes there's value or mispricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide a real-time assessment of expectations for the Duisburg vs Havelse match, offering a dynamic view of potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Duisburg vs Havelse match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome. It is important to monitor news and updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the result.
Several signals could move this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly impact the perceived probability of each outcome. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches, weather conditions on match day, and even public sentiment expressed through social media could all influence trading activity. Unexpected upsets in related matches or broader league standings could also shift expectations and lead to price movements in this market.