TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 7:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jurij Rodionov and Quinn Vandecasteele in the Dublin, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jurij Rodionov' if Jurij Rodionov advances against Quinn Vandecasteele. This market will resolve to 'Quinn Vandecasteele' if Quinn Vandecasteele advances against Jurij Rodionov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jurij Rodionov and Quinn Vandecasteele in the Dublin, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jurij Rodionov' if Jurij Rodionov advances against Quinn Vandecasteele. This market will resolve to 'Quinn Vandecasteele' if Quinn Vandecasteele advances against Jurij Rodionov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show a different probability than major sportsbooks quote, particularly as new information emerges or closer to the event date. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregate confidence of all participants; as new information surfaces or match conditions change, traders adjust their positions, moving the price in real time. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices respond to news, so markets with higher activity typically adjust faster than those with sparse trading.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the official winner as confirmed by recognized tennis authorities and sports data providers. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares based on their expectations, and prices may shift as match day approaches or if relevant developments emerge.
Several factors may influence trader behavior and market prices leading up to the match. Player injury reports, recent form and head-to-head records, court surface conditions in Dublin, and any weather forecasts can all shift expectations. News about either competitor's training status, mental readiness, or recent tournament results may prompt traders to adjust their positions. As the match date draws closer, increased media coverage and expert commentary often drive higher trading volume and price volatility.