TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle
polymarket
kalshi

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle

Volume:
$493,156

Henry Searle

 - Kalshi

Henry Searle - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 8:35 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Henry Searle

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202,643
N/A
N/A
$109,682
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Match O/U 23.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Elias Ymer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$240,421
N/A
N/A
$68,472
Settled
No
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Description

This event group covers a professional tennis match between Elias Ymer and Henry Searle scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET in Dublin (ATP Challenger). The group includes 16 markets on Polymarket covering match winner, set winners, game totals, and set handicaps, plus 2 markets on Kalshi covering match completion after play begins.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a binary 'any winner after play' criterion, while Polymarket distinguishes between normal completion and specific edge cases (walkovers, retirements, delays), with granular sub-markets for sets and games. The platforms do not contradict on a completed match, but diverge on incomplete scenarios.Hero tip: For Polymarket markets: monitor ATP Tour official statistics for final score and completion status. If match is abandoned or delayed beyond 7 days without result, Polymarket resolves 50-50. For Kalshi: only Yes if a ball is played and a winner emerges; otherwise unresolved. Cross-check both platforms' source (ATP Tour) within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: 16 markets with winner-specific resolution (Ymer vs Searle), set winners, game totals, and set handicaps. Walkovers resolve 50-50; retirements/defaults after play begins resolve to advancing player; cancellations or delays beyond 7 days resolve 50-50. Primary source: ATP Tour official statistics or credible consensus. Key Quote: 'If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: 2 markets resolving to Yes if either Ymer or Searle wins after a ball is played; no distinction between completion modes or edge cases. No explicit handling of walkovers, delays, or cancellations. Key Quote: 'If Henry Searle wins the Ymer vs Searle professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Dublin Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Henry Searle in the Dublin, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Henry Searle. This market will resolve to 'Henry Searle' if Henry Searle advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the Ymer vs Searle professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Dublin Round of 32, contingent upon at least one ball being played. If the match does not commence due to player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation occurring before play begins, the market will resolve to a fair price per standard rules. Should the match be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and will close following the rescheduled match completion within two weeks.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than traditional sportsbook margins. Traders directly set odds by buying and selling shares, which often reflects sharper, less-padded pricing than retail sportsbooks. However, sportsbooks may incorporate live in-play data and faster updates during the match itself. For pre-match analysis, prediction market odds tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently, though liquidity and market depth vary by platform. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities before the event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, leading to natural price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi also use distinct market mechanics—one may offer tighter spreads or deeper order books at certain price levels. Regulatory differences and platform-specific incentives can shift where informed traders concentrate their capital. Additionally, timing lags in order matching and varying user bases mean identical events can trade at slightly different odds simultaneously. Monitoring both venues helps identify arbitrage or consensus shifts in real time.

Recent form, head-to-head records, and injury updates are primary catalysts for price movement in this market. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and player fitness reports released closer to match day can shift trader sentiment significantly. Betting syndicates and professional traders often react to line moves on major sportsbooks, creating feedback loops. Tournament momentum—how each player performed in earlier rounds—also influences confidence. Social media sentiment and expert commentary may sway retail traders, while sharp money typically responds to objective data like serve statistics and historical matchups.