TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SC Paderborn 07
polymarket
kalshi

DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SC Paderborn 07

Volume:
$263,539

Draw (DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SC Paderborn 07)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 14, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SC Paderborn 07)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,059
N/A
N/A
$4,430
Settled
Yes
polymarket

DSC Arminia Bielefeld

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,672
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bielefeld

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,711
N/A
N/A
$23,441
Settled
No
polymarket

SC Paderborn 07

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Paderborn

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,490
N/A
N/A
$33,051
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) match between DSC Arminia Bielefeld and SC Paderborn 07 scheduled for March 14, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome: whether Bielefeld wins, whether Paderborn wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms apply identical resolution logic: official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official Bundesliga.com statistics and governing body records; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome determined by score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Bielefeld win, Paderborn win, or draw
  • Polymarket draw market resolves Yes if match ends in draw, No otherwise
  • Polymarket Bielefeld win market resolves Yes if Bielefeld wins, No otherwise
  • Polymarket Paderborn win market resolves Yes if Paderborn wins, No otherwise
  • Kalshi markets resolve Yes for any of the three outcomes (Paderborn win, Bielefeld win, or tie) as separate binary contracts
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until match is completed
  • If match is canceled with no makeup game: draw markets resolve Yes, win markets resolve No

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a rescheduled date
  • Match Cancellation: If canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, draw markets resolve Yes and win markets resolve No
  • Source Timing: Official Bundesliga statistics are primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used
  • Scope Limitation: Resolution based only on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded from consideration
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 14, 2026, with official statistics expected within 2 hours of final whistleOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.