TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SC Paderborn 07
Volume:
$263,539
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) match between DSC Arminia Bielefeld and SC Paderborn 07 scheduled for March 14, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome: whether Bielefeld wins, whether Paderborn wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms apply identical resolution logic: official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga.com statistics and governing body records; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome determined by score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Bielefeld win, Paderborn win, or draw
- Polymarket draw market resolves Yes if match ends in draw, No otherwise
- Polymarket Bielefeld win market resolves Yes if Bielefeld wins, No otherwise
- Polymarket Paderborn win market resolves Yes if Paderborn wins, No otherwise
- Kalshi markets resolve Yes for any of the three outcomes (Paderborn win, Bielefeld win, or tie) as separate binary contracts
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game: draw markets resolve Yes, win markets resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a rescheduled date
- Match Cancellation: If canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, draw markets resolve Yes and win markets resolve No
- Source Timing: Official Bundesliga statistics are primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used
- Scope Limitation: Resolution based only on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded from consideration
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 14, 2026, with official statistics expected within 2 hours of final whistleOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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