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DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. FC St. Pauli 1910
polymarket
kalshi

DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. FC St. Pauli 1910

Volume:
$518,731

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 2:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$98,528
N/A
N/A
$59,889
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. FC St. Pauli 1910)

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bielefeld

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$183,832
N/A
N/A
$104,944
Settled
No
polymarket

DSC Arminia Bielefeld

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103,243
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

St. Pauli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$98,148
N/A
N/A
$41,756
Settled
No
polymarket

FC St. Pauli 1910

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,924
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Bundesliga 2 soccer match between DSC Arminia Bielefeld and FC St. Pauli 1910, scheduled for September 4, 2026, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, aggregating views from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will be resolved using official statistics from the Bundesliga or recognized governing body, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting if official data is delayed. A secondary outcome, Bielefeld winning on September 4, 2026, currently has a 0.1% probability. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 4, 2026, to see if the predicted draw materializes after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core logic for determining match outcomes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of cancellations and postponerments.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the Bundesliga or recognized governing body; with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting if official data is delayed

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties
  • If the game is canceled with no makeup, 'No' resolves for win markets and 'Yes' for draw market
  • Postponements keep markets open until the game is completed

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup, win markets resolve 'No' and the draw market resolves 'Yes'
  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed
Timing: Markets resolve based on official statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, or via fallback sources if delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, September 4, 2026 between DSC Arminia Bielefeld and FC St. Pauli 1910.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Bielefeld vs St. Pauli professional Bundesliga 2 soccer game scheduled for Sep 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Bielefeld wins, its market resolves to Yes; if St. Pauli wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price.