TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 571M
- Kalshi
Above 571M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 20, 2026
Closed: Jul 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Drake's worldwide streaming performance during the week of July 10-16, 2026. Streaming data is collected from major platforms and published by Luminate Data, typically within 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Drake's total worldwide streams during the July 10-16, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data. The event features tiered outcomes at successive stream thresholds, each representing a discrete resolution point. Data publication typically occurs within approximately 48 hours following the end of the tracking period. Luminate Data serves as the neutral provider of streaming metrics and does not endorse or participate in market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets from thousands of traders with direct financial incentives to be accurate. While analysts may rely on historical data and qualitative judgment, this market reflects dynamic, crowd-sourced expectations updated continuously as new signals arrive. Comparing the two can reveal where professional consensus and market sentiment align or diverge—a useful sanity check when evaluating the probability of Drake's streaming patterns over the coming weeks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share reflects a fractional claim on the final payout, and the current bid-ask spread determines the live odds you see on screen. As more traders enter positions, the price adjusts to reflect new information and shifting conviction, ensuring the market continuously reprices to match the latest consensus view.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once Drake's streaming activity over the relevant period is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on observable, factual data about streaming frequency rather than subjective interpretation. Once the event window closes and the necessary information is publicly available, the market settles and all positions are paid out according to which outcome occurred.
Key catalysts include Drake's official announcements about streaming plans, changes to his content schedule, platform partnerships or exclusivity deals, and any public statements about his media activity. Social media updates, industry news about streaming trends, and shifts in his touring or album release calendar could all influence trader positioning. Additionally, early data on actual streaming frequency as the resolution window approaches will likely trigger repricing as the market incorporates real-world outcomes into its pricing.
