TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 637M
- Kalshi
Above 637M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 4, 2026
Closed: Jul 4, 2:31 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Drake's worldwide streaming performance during the week of June 26 - July 02, 2026. Streaming data is collected from major music platforms globally and published by Luminate Data, typically within 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Drake's total worldwide streams during the June 26 - July 02, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data. Each outcome corresponds to a specific streaming threshold, with resolution occurring when streams exceed the designated level. Data publication typically occurs within approximately 48 hours following the end of the tracking period. Luminate Data serves as the neutral provider of market metrics and does not endorse or participate in prediction market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect real money at stake, which often incorporates information faster than traditional analyst forecasts. While entertainment analysts may rely on historical patterns and public statements, traders in this market are incentivized to price in breaking news, social media signals, and schedule changes immediately. The odds you see here represent aggregated bets from many participants, each weighing available evidence. This crowdsourced pricing can diverge meaningfully from a single analyst's projection, especially when new information emerges close to resolution.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share trades at a price between 0 and 100 cents, with that price reflecting the implied probability of the outcome occurring. As demand shifts—driven by new information, schedule announcements, or changing sentiment—the bid-ask spread adjusts accordingly. Your position's value fluctuates in real time based on these market dynamics, allowing you to exit or adjust exposure at any point before resolution.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, at which point the outcome will be verified against credible public sources to determine whether the specified streaming frequency condition has been met. The resolution process confirms the factual occurrence of the event and settles all open positions accordingly. Until that date, you can trade freely, and the odds will continue to shift based on new developments and trader positioning. Once the market closes, no further trading is permitted and payouts are distributed based on the final outcome.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before resolution. Official announcements from Drake's team regarding streaming plans, changes to his tour or album release schedule, and public statements about content frequency would all move the market. Social media activity, news coverage of his recent projects, and any platform-related developments affecting streaming accessibility could also influence trader positioning. Additionally, comparable historical data on his streaming patterns and any unexpected personal or professional events would prompt repricing as the market incorporates new information closer to the end date.
