TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 11M
- Kalshi
Above 11M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 4:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Drake's performance on a specific date, measuring how many global daily views his content receives on a major video platform. The outcome depends on whether view counts surpass various thresholds, reflecting audience engagement and popularity.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on whether Drake achieves specified global daily view thresholds on YouTube for September 22, 2026. Each market defines a unique threshold, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the recorded views exceed that threshold. All markets use data accessed via YouTube Charts from a New York IP address to ensure consistency, despite potential geographic variations in reported view counts. The markets are strictly observational and do not imply endorsement by YouTube or any affiliation between YouTube and the event operator. The resolution relies solely on the objective comparison of the actual view count against each threshold.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Drake’s viewership. However, prediction markets often aggregate a diverse range of opinions and information, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than any single analyst. If analysts widely believe Drake will exceed 11.5M views, we’d expect to see the odds shift accordingly on Kalshi. Discrepancies between market prices and external forecasts can present opportunities for informed traders, but it’s important to understand the different methodologies used to arrive at these predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Drake will have above 11.5M daily views on Sep 22, 2026. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates the market’s collective assessment of the likelihood of the event.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on the publicly reported daily views for Drake’s content on September 22, 2026. The platform will rely on established and trusted sources to determine the official view count and settle the market accordingly. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the data is verified and the outcome is determined.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Any news regarding Drake's upcoming releases, promotional activities, or collaborations would likely impact expectations about his viewership. Major shifts in social media trends or changes to the platforms where Drake’s content is hosted could also play a role. Unexpected events affecting Drake’s public image or overall media consumption habits could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on viewership is crucial for traders in this market.
