TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 11M
- Kalshi
Above 11M - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 20, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 20, 1:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Drake's global YouTube view count on a specific date, offering multiple thresholds for market resolution. Participants can speculate on whether his daily views will surpass various milestones, with each threshold representing a different level of audience engagement.
Kalshi
Multiple markets exist with varying threshold values for Drake’s global daily YouTube views on September 18, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the view count exceeds its specific threshold. All markets use view counts reported from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The markets are strictly observational and carry no endorsement from YouTube; references to YouTube are purely descriptive and do not imply any affiliation or approval. The structure allows participants to bet on different levels of performance, with higher thresholds representing more ambitious view-count targets.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to external analyst forecasts, as such forecasts are not yet widely available for an event so far in the future. However, the prices reflect the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi, representing their assessment of the likelihood of different view counts. If initial analyst predictions emerge, comparing them to the market prices will reveal whether the crowd anticipates a different outcome than experts, or if there is general agreement on the likely result of this event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes at any time. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the latest insights and expectations regarding the number of views Drake’s song will achieve. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to evolving sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official view count for Drake’s song is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the publicly available view count as reported by a major music streaming service or video platform. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their predictions were accurate following the resolution date, and payouts will be distributed accordingly based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding Drake’s upcoming album release, including the release date and marketing strategy, could shift the odds. Positive or negative critical reception of the song upon its initial release will likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected events affecting Drake’s public image or the broader music industry could also play a role. Finally, changes in the popularity of music streaming platforms or viewing habits could influence the final view count and, therefore, the outcome of this market.
