TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 11M
- Kalshi
Above 11M - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Closed: Sep 15, 1:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Drake's performance on a specific date, measuring how many global daily views his content receives on a major video platform. It reflects interest in predicting audience engagement and popularity for entertainment figures.
Kalshi
Multiple markets exist with varying threshold values for Drake's global daily YouTube views on September 13, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the view count exceeds its specific threshold. All markets use view counts displayed from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. The rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive. Global daily views are accessed via YouTube Charts by searching for Drake and selecting 'Global' as the location. The secondary rules consistently apply across all markets, ensuring uniform methodology for data retrieval and resolution.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi. These odds often differ from initial analyst forecasts, as the market incorporates new information and adjusts expectations dynamically. While many analysts predict Drake will achieve a significant number of views, this market allows for a more nuanced assessment, reflecting the probability of various outcomes. It's common to see the market diverge from initial predictions as traders weigh factors like promotional efforts, critical reception, and broader music trends, ultimately offering a different perspective than traditional forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a constantly updated forecast of the event’s potential results. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official view count for Drake’s song is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the publicly available view count as reported by a major music streaming platform or official source. The specific threshold for determining the winning outcome will be defined within the market’s rules on Kalshi. Traders will be able to see the final result and any relevant documentation confirming the outcome after the resolution date.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements regarding the song’s release, such as collaborations with other artists or details about accompanying music videos, could drive trading activity. Positive or negative critical reviews upon release will also likely influence the market. Unexpected events affecting Drake’s public image, or broader trends in music consumption, could also play a role. Furthermore, the performance of similar releases by other artists in the lead-up to September 13, 2026, could provide valuable comparative data and shift traders’ expectations.
