TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 9:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Drake achieves specific daily view count thresholds on YouTube during a one-week period in 2026. The outcome depends on whether his global views exceed various milestones within that timeframe, reflecting potential spikes in audience engagement.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Drake's global daily YouTube view counts between July 27 and August 2, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold, ranging from above 11 million to above 13 million views. The market resolves to 'Yes' if, at any point during the specified period, Drake's single-day global views on YouTube Charts exceed the respective threshold for that market. All markets share the same observation window and data source—global daily view counts displayed on YouTube Charts—and all explicitly state that YouTube has not endorsed these markets. The resolution hinges solely on whether the view count surpasses the defined threshold on any day within the period, with each market operating independently based on its unique numerical requirement.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest single-day view count during the July 27–August 2 window determines the result, based on officially released streaming analytics. No external validation beyond publicly accessible data is required.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 4, 2026. Major catalysts include Drake releasing new visual content, live-stream events, or surprise collaborations that drive spikes in daily views. Platform algorithm updates that boost or de-prioritize his content would also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, competing releases or viral trends around the same dates could draw viewership away, prompting rapid odds adjustments on Kalshi as new data emerges.