TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 13.25M
- Kalshi
Above 13.25M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 2, 2026
Closed: Sep 1, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
These markets track whether Drake achieves specific levels of global daily views on YouTube during August 2026. Each outcome represents a different view count threshold that needs to be surpassed on any single day within that month. The resolution depends on YouTube Charts data for the artist.
Kalshi
The markets resolve based on whether Drake attains or exceeds specified global daily view thresholds on YouTube during August 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical benchmark—ranging from above 12.5 million to above 14 million views per day—that must be met on at least one day within the month. The relevant data is sourced exclusively from YouTube Charts, where users can verify the artist's global daily view counts by searching for the artist and selecting the 'Global' location filter. All markets share identical procedural rules: resolution occurs after August 2026 concludes, with 'Yes' outcomes triggered by any single day meeting or exceeding the respective threshold. No endorsement or affiliation exists between YouTube and the market operator; references to YouTube are strictly descriptive. Discrepancies between reported figures and official charts will be resolved in favor of YouTube Charts data.
Frequently asked questions
Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who bet on which day will record Drake’s highest viewership. Prediction market odds capture real-time betting patterns and can diverge from or align with expert predictions, depending on new data such as social media trends, concert schedules, or streaming platform announcements.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding, with each contract representing a specific day in August 2026. The current top outcome reflects the day with the highest implied probability, driven by trader sentiment, recent performance metrics, and any public activity from Drake that might influence viewership expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The day with the highest official daily view count for Drake in August 2026 will settle the market, based on data from major streaming services and verified analytics platforms.
