TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 12.25M
- Kalshi
Above 12.25M - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 8, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 7, 6:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This set of markets tracks whether Drake achieves specific levels of global daily views on YouTube within a defined timeframe. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of daily views, allowing participants to speculate on the exact performance level Drake might reach during the period.
Kalshi
All markets resolve to 'Yes' if Drake attains or exceeds the specified global daily view threshold on YouTube at any point between August 31, 2026, and September 6, 2026. View counts are determined using data displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, with the artist searched and 'Global' selected as the location. These markets and products are not endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts are for descriptive purposes only, indicating no affiliation between YouTube and the market operator. The consistent secondary rules across all markets ensure uniform methodology for verifying outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, this market currently reflects trader sentiment about which Drake song will draw the most daily views during the specified week. Analyst forecasts often focus on recent chart performance, social media trends, and promotional activity surrounding new releases. While analysts may highlight songs with strong pre-release buzz, market odds capture real-time betting dynamics and can shift rapidly with new data. Comparing the two provides a useful contrast between expert projections and crowd-sourced expectations for the Drake viewership race.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest single-day view count during the specified period will determine the winning result, based on officially published data from the relevant streaming platforms.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before Sep 10, 2026. Key catalysts include Drake’s official announcements about new single releases, high-profile performances, or social media teasers that generate viral buzz. Daily streaming platform updates — particularly spikes on Spotify or Apple Music — may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, competing entertainment events or controversies involving Drake could either boost or dampen viewership expectations, causing rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as the market heads toward its conclusion.
