TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 11.5M
- Kalshi
Above 11.5M - Kalshi
1W
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Positive
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Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 1, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 27, 11:19 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This set of markets tracks whether Drake achieves specific global daily view thresholds on YouTube during a one-week period. Each outcome represents a different view count milestone that could be reached during the specified timeframe.
Kalshi
These markets resolve to Yes if Drake attains or exceeds the specified global daily view count threshold on YouTube at any point between August 24, 2026, and August 30, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a progressively higher view count benchmark, ranging from above 11 million to above 15 million views per day. Global daily views are determined using YouTube Charts by searching for Drake and selecting the 'Global' location filter. All markets operate independently, with resolution triggered by the first occurrence of any threshold being met during the defined period. Note that these markets and related products are not endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts are used descriptively without implying affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Right now, this market’s implied probabilities reflect a different outlook than many entertainment analysts, who often emphasize tour dates or new releases over single-day performance metrics. Traders on Kalshi are pricing in factors like social media spikes or surprise announcements, which analysts may underweight. Monitoring both this market and expert commentary can reveal shifts in public sentiment versus institutional expectations.
On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the Drake viewership race through continuous bidding and asking. The current probability reflects collective expectations about which performance will draw the largest daily audience during the specified week. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Market depth and liquidity, represented by volume of $26,729, help determine how sensitive the price is to new information or shifts in fan sentiment. As the event approaches, early indicators like social media buzz and pre-show announcements may cause noticeable movements in the pricing.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning day will be the one with the highest official streaming or broadcast view count for Drake during the specified August 24–30 window, as reported by authoritative entertainment data sources.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Key catalysts include early social media engagement metrics, promotional events or controversies involving Drake or competing acts, and real-time audience tracking during the first days of the week. Any announcement about broadcast reach, streaming platform partnerships, or last-minute schedule changes may also shift probabilities. As Sep 1, 2026 approaches, platforms may release preliminary view estimates, and trader reactions to these data points will largely determine the final probability movements.
