TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether a popular artist's YouTube views surpass various thresholds within a specific week. The outcome depends on whether the artist's global daily view count exceeds set benchmarks during the defined period.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Drake's global daily YouTube views during the period from August 10, 2026, to August 16, 2026. Each threshold represents a specific numerical mark (ranging from above 11 million to above 20 million views). If Drake's view count exceeds any of these thresholds at any point during the specified week, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The view counts are verified using YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting 'Global' as the location. It is noted that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking, with prices reflecting the aggregated belief about which day will record the highest views. The top outcome’s chance is expressed as a percentage, and volume shows how much has traded. Market depth and liquidity can shift quickly with new data or hype around Drake’s releases.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The day with the highest official daily view count during the August 10–16 window determines the result, based on widely accepted metrics from streaming platforms.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 18, 2026. Major social media announcements, surprise collaborations, music video drops, or chart-moving performances can instantly alter trader sentiment. Additionally, competing releases or controversies surrounding Drake’s work may influence daily view patterns, causing rapid repricing of odds on Kalshi as new information emerges.