TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Open de France tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Open de France tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Open de France tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Open de France tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Open de France tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Open de France tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the perceived public’s betting patterns, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially when new developments emerge that haven’t been fully priced in by traditional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular golfer winning the Open de France. The price of each share reflects the probability of that golfer winning, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a golfer, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of victory, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results declared by the DP World Tour, identifying the golfer who wins the Open de France tournament. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning golfer will receive a payout, while those holding shares in losing golfers will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding golfer injuries, changes in form, or weather conditions at the Golf National course could cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected strong or weak performances during practice rounds or early tournament play will also influence trading activity. Major announcements about course modifications or changes to tournament rules could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert predictions regarding potential winners could drive changes in share prices.