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DP World Tour: Open de France Third Round Leader
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead DP World Tour: Open de France Round 3?

Volume:
$66,875

Matt Fitzpatrick

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 12:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Matt Fitzpatrick

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,964
N/A
N/A
$11,831
1w 4d
Yes
polymarket

Matthew Fitzpatrick

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marcel Siem

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,332
N/A
N/A
$10,332
1w 4d
No
polymarket

Marcel Siem

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeff Winther

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,687
N/A
N/A
$6,639
1w 4d
No
polymarket

Jeff Winther

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Angel Hidalgo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,316
N/A
N/A
$6,253
1w 4d
No
polymarket

Angel Hidalgo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Kim

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,428
N/A
N/A
$5,140
1w 4d
No
polymarket

Michael Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tom Vaillant

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,388
N/A
N/A
$5,365
1w 4d
No
kalshi

Ryan Gerard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,441
N/A
N/A
$2,947
1w 4d
No
kalshi

Thriston Lawrence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,344
N/A
N/A
$3,339
1w 4d
No
kalshi

Viktor Hovland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,285
N/A
N/A
$2,285
1w 4d
No
kalshi

Jason Scrivener

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$499
N/A
N/A
$499
1w 4d
No
polymarket

Jason Scrivener

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Francesco Laporta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$374
N/A
N/A
$374
1w 4d
No
polymarket

Francesco Laporta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Antoine Rozner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$374
N/A
N/A
$374
1w 4d
No
polymarket

Antoine Rozner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yuvraj Sandhu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$374
N/A
N/A
$374
1w 4d
No
kalshi

Kristoffer Reitan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
$334
1w 4d
No
polymarket

Kristoffer Reitan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gregorio De Leo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$307
N/A
N/A
$307
1w 4d
No
polymarket

Gregorio De Leo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 266

Description

This prediction market group concerns which golfer will be leading after the third round of the 2026 Open de France tournament. Resolution depends on the lowest cumulative score to par, with tiebreakers defined by scores in subsequent rounds, eagles, birdies, bogeys, and finally, alphabetical order of last names.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets lack the detailed tie-breaking procedures specified by Polymarket, creating ambiguity in the event of a tie for the lead.Hero tip: Focus on players with a strong likelihood of being outright leaders, as tie-breaking scenarios are not accounted for in Kalshi markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the player with the lowest cumulative score after Round 3, with a multi-stage tiebreaker including round scores, eagles, birdies, bogeys, and alphabetical order. "This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if the listed player is the sole leader after Round 3, with no tie-breaking procedure specified. "If [Player Name] is the leader at the end of Round 3...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de France with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified golfer is the sole leader after Round 3 of the 2026 FedEx Open de France. If multiple players share the top position, "Yes" bets receive $1 divided by the number of tied leaders (rounded down), while "No" bets receive the complement to 1 of that payout. All markets operate independently, with no cross-market dependencies. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the PGA or ownership of related trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, while prediction markets are driven by user forecasts and real-money incentives. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when significant public information isn't fully priced into sportsbook lines. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event, and often converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the DP World Tour. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the prices observed in this market. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the value of aggregating information across platforms.