TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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DP World Tour: Open de Espana First Round Leader
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead DP World Tour: Open de Espana Round 1?

Total volume:
$596,025
Volume 24h:
$584,635N/A
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$493,045
14%

Connor Syme

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 12, 2026

Will Connor Syme lead the 2026 Open de Espana following the first round?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 50¢ buys you 200 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $200 | Net Profit: $100 Multiplier: 2.00x | ROI: 100% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Connor Syme

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Connor Syme

View
33%
Yes 33¢No 67¢
100¢
N/A
$62,330
N/A
N/A
$39,234
1w 2d 20h
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
33%
Yes 33¢No 67¢
Avg: 100¢Max: 100¢
polymarket

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

View
33%
Yes 33¢No 67¢
100¢
N/A
$73,935
N/A
N/A
$42,028
1w 2d 20h
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
33%
Yes 33¢No 67¢
Avg: 100¢Max: 100¢
polymarket

Grant Forrest

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Grant Forrest

View
33%
Yes 33¢No 67¢
100¢
N/A
$44,484
N/A
N/A
$23,907
1w 2d 20h
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
33%
Yes 33¢No 67¢
Avg: 100¢Max: 100¢
kalshi

Angel Ayora Fanegas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,109
N/A
N/A
$29,071
1w 2d 20h
No
polymarket

Angel Ayora

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mikael Lindberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,280
N/A
N/A
$19,564
1w 2d 20h
No
polymarket

Mikael Lindberg

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Hillier

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,630
N/A
N/A
$12,582
1w 2d 20h
No
polymarket

Daniel Hillier

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacob Skov Olesen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,985
N/A
N/A
$18,028
1w 2d 20h
No
polymarket

Jacob Skov Olesen

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nathan Kimsey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,628
N/A
N/A
$16,878
1w 2d 20h
No
polymarket

Nathan Kimsey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Rose

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,544
N/A
N/A
$17,544
1w 2d 20h
No
polymarket

Justin Rose

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergio Garcia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,413
N/A
N/A
$11,090
1w 2d 20h
No
kalshi

Angel Hidalgo

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,996
N/A
N/A
$12,996
1w 2d 20h
No
polymarket

Angel Hidalgo

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Armitage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,744
N/A
N/A
$12,744
1w 2d 20h
No
polymarket

Marcus Armitage

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Adrian Meronk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,994
N/A
N/A
$11,994
1w 2d 20h
No
polymarket

Adrian Meronk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 252

Intro

This market tracks whether Connor Syme will lead after the first round of the 2026 Open de Espana golf tournament. Currently, the aggregated probability across Kalshi and Polymarket gives Connor Syme a 100.0% chance of achieving this. This prediction group’s resolution will be based on data from https://www.europeantour.com/. Keep an eye on the first round scores beginning October 12, 2026, to see if Syme can maintain his position as the leader following the initial play.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets focus on individual player leadership without detailed tiebreakers, while Polymarket includes a comprehensive tiebreaker system and cancellation clause.Hero tip: Kalshi markets are simpler – a player must be the sole leader. Polymarket introduces complexity with tiebreakers, potentially increasing volatility and requiring more precise prediction.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the player with the lowest cumulative score to par after Round 1, with a detailed tiebreaker system (back 9, eagles, birdies, bogeys, alphabetical order) and a cancellation clause if the tournament is cancelled or postponed.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if a specific player is the leader at the end of Round 1, with no explicit tiebreaker information or cancellation clause. It only cares if that player is the leader.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de Espana with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Open de Espana is cancelled, postponed after October 25, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified golfer is the sole leader after Round 1 of the 2026 Open de España presented by Madrid. If multiple players share the top position, "Yes" bets receive a prorated payout of $1 divided by the number of tied leaders (rounded down), while "No" bets receive the remainder of the stake. All markets operate independently, with no cross-market dependencies. The tournament's official results govern resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any formal association with the PGA or its trademarks.