TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Marcus Kinhult
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 20, 2026
Closed: Aug 20, 2:49 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This group of markets resolves based on who leads the 2026 Nexo Championship after the first round of play. The leader is determined by the lowest cumulative score to par, with tiebreakers including back-9 score, eagles, birdies, bogeys, and alphabetical order of last names.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets use identical criteria to determine the first-round leader, including the same tiebreaker sequence and cancellation/postponement rules.Primary resolution logic: Official results published by the European TourCore resolution logic:
- Lowest cumulative score to par after Round 1 determines the leader
- Tiebreakers: back-9 score, eagles, birdies, bogeys, alphabetical order of last names
- If tournament is canceled or postponed after September 6, 2026, or if no leader is declared by then, resolve to "Other"
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Tournament Cancellation: If the 2026 Nexo Championship is canceled, postponed after September 6, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, markets resolve to "Other".
- Multiple Tiebreakers: Tiebreakers are applied sequentially: back-9 score, then eagles, then birdies, then bogeys, and finally alphabetical order of last names.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Nexo Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Nexo Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 6, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Kalshi
If Cameron Adam is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kiradech Aphibarnrat is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcus Armitage is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adri Arnaus is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Bairstow is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eliot Baker is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew Baldwin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jonas Baumgartner is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Albin Bergstrom is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joshua Berry is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fred Biondi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucas Bjerregaard is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Barclay Brown is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Brown is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Steven Brown is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Bryant is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Buchanan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jorge Campillo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ivan Cantero Gutierrez is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Filippo Celli is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clement Charmasson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Todd Clements is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Martin Couvra is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sean Crocker is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If MJ Daffue is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Daly Jr. is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jens Dantorp is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joe Dean is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Quentin Debove is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Manuel Elvira is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pablo Ereno Perez is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ewen Ferguson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ross Fisher is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benjamin Follett-Smith is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Grant Forrest is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Simon Forsstrom is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rory Franssen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Frittelli is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Calum Fyfe is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andres Gallegos is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alfredo Garcia-Heredia is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Gavins is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Deon Germishuys is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joel Girrbach is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ricardo Gouveia is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gregor Graham is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gavin Green is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Julien Guerrier is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andreas Halvorsen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benjamin Hebert is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Hollick is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Palmer Jackson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott Jamieson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Casey Jarvis is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Liam Johnston is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryggs Johnston is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tobias Jonsson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew Jordan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sadom Kaewkanjana is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maximilian Kieffer is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nathan Kimsey is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcus Kinhult is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kazuma Kobori is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joakim Lagergren is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Martin Laird is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pablo Larrazabal is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Law is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyoung-Hoon Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Junghwan Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexander Levy is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Lewis is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hao-Tong Li is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Locke is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hunter Logan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zander Lombard is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matteo Manassero is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richard Mansell is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Haydn McCullen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Connor McKinney is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Micheluzzi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Mjaaseth is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If James Morrison is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Felix Mory is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Naidoo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keita Nakajima is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lukas Nemecz is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shaun Norris is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Niklas Norgaard Moller is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paul O'Hara is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacob Skov Olesen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrian Otaegui is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Renato Paratore is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yannik Paul is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthieu Pavon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Peake is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eddie Pepperell is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Julian Perico is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yurav Premlall is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Anthony Quayle is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alvaro Quiros is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Ravetto is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jovan Rebula is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Reed is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rocco Repetto Taylor is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brandon Robinson-Thompson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Rodrigues is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yuvraj Sandhu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benjamin Schmidt is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jason Scrivener is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Senior is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shubhankar Sharma is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tatsunori Shogenji is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcel Siem is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew Southgate is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maximilian Steinlechner is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richard Sterne is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brandon Stone is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andy Sullivan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Connor Syme is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Callum Tarren is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richard Teder is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mike Toorop is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hugo Townsend is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Van Tonder is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Van Velzen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Johannes Veerman is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Quim Vidal is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Borja Virto Astudillo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicolai Von Dellingshausen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Euan Walker is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robin Williams is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrew Wilson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Young is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Yule is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Simon Zach is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fabrizio Zanotti is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yanhan Zhou is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Nexo Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Key signals that could shift this market include practice-round scores, weather forecasts affecting tee times, and any last-minute changes to the field. News about player injuries or equipment issues can also impact odds. As the tournament draws closer, every stroke in the opening round will be parsed instantly by traders, often moving implied probabilities within minutes of each update.
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