TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own analysis and may adjust them based on betting action, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each golfer winning the Irish Open. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that golfer winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the field. Higher demand for shares in a particular golfer will drive up their price, indicating increased confidence in their chances, while decreasing demand will lower the price.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results declared by the DP World Tour, identifying the golfer who wins the Irish Open. The platform will then determine the winning shares and distribute payouts accordingly. It’s important to note that the official tournament results will be the final authority for settling this market, regardless of any preliminary reports or unofficial sources.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding golfer injuries, changes in form during practice rounds, or even weather forecasts for the tournament location could influence trading activity. Unexpected withdrawals of key players would also likely cause a shift in probabilities. Furthermore, live performance during the tournament itself – early round scores, notable pairings, and leaderboard changes – will all contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to the unfolding events and adjust their predictions.