TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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DP World Tour: Irish Open Top 20
polymarket
kalshi

Will a player finish in the DP World Tour Irish Open Top 20?

Volume:
$83,158

Matt Wallace

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Matt Wallace

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,576
N/A
N/A
$6,506
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Matt Wallace

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Reed

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,290
N/A
N/A
$3,275
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Patrick Reed

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Maximilian Steinlechner

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,697
N/A
N/A
$1,697
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Maximilian Steinlechner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Robert MacIntyre

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,652
N/A
N/A
$1,638
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Robert MacIntyre

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jacob Skov Olesen

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,470
N/A
N/A
$1,306
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jacob Skov Olesen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Fitzpatrick

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,389
N/A
N/A
$1,336
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alex Fitzpatrick

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shane Lowry

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$820
N/A
N/A
$433
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shane Lowry

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matteo Manassero

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$741
N/A
N/A
$735
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Matteo Manassero

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joaquin Niemann

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$399
N/A
N/A
$395
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Joaquin Niemann

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ewen Ferguson

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
$316
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ewen Ferguson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hao-Tong Li

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$313
N/A
N/A
$312
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Haotong Li

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tom McKibbin

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$245
N/A
N/A
$245
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tom McKibbin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Adrian Meronk

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
$218
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 278

Description

This prediction market group focuses on whether individual golfers will finish in the top 20 at the 2026 Irish Open golf tournament, including ties. Markets are created for a large number of players, allowing for speculation on their performance. Resolution relies on the official results published by the DP World Tour.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets are scoped to the 'Amgen Irish Open' while Polymarket does not specify a sponsor, and Kalshi has a smaller subset of players covered.Hero tip: Focus on players available on both platforms for a more consistent trading experience. Be aware that the smaller player pool on Kalshi may lead to different market dynamics.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if a player finishes in the Top 20 at the 2026 Irish Open (no sponsor specified), including ties. Source: DP World Tour website.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if a player finishes in the Top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Amgen Irish Open. A much smaller subset of players are covered.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 Irish Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified golfer finishes in the top 20 positions (including ties) during the 2026 Amgen Irish Open. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate, the market resolves to Fair Market Price if the withdrawal occurs before teeing off, and to No if after teeing off. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent resolution based on participation status and final tournament standings.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on which golfers will finish within the top 20 at the Irish Open. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $83,158, with $6,433 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available. The short_topic, the Irish Open top 20 market, is a popular choice for those following professional golf, offering a focused prediction opportunity. The dashboard provides a combined view of probabilities and trading activity across both venues.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on all sides, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the implied probabilities in prediction markets and those offered by sportsbooks. These differences can sometimes highlight potentially undervalued or overvalued outcomes, offering opportunities for informed traders.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume typically leads to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution on each platform can influence price movements. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Jordan Smith finishing in the Top 20 at the 2026 Irish Open at 100%, while Kalshi leans toward Marcus Armitage finishing top 20 at n/a%.

Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Player form leading up to the Irish Open, including recent tournament performances and any reported injuries, will be closely watched. Weather conditions during the tournament can also have a substantial impact, favoring certain playing styles. Unexpected withdrawals of key players would also cause significant movement. Any news regarding course conditions or changes to the tournament format could also influence trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on opportunities in this market.