TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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DP World Tour: BMW PGA Championship First Round Leader
polymarket

Who will lead after Round 1?

Volume:
$1,535

Adam Scott

 - Polymarket

Adam Scott - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 2:51 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Adam Scott

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ludvig Aaberg

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Aaron Rai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Adrian Meronk

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Adrian Otaegui

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Adrien Saddier

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alejandro Del Rey

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex Fitzpatrick

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex Smalley

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alexander Noren

0%
88%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Andy Sullivan

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Angel Ayora

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Angel Hidalgo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Antoine Rozner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ashley Mansell

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ashun Wu

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ben Schmidt

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bernd Wiesberger

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brandon Robinson-Thompson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brandon Stone

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brooks Koepka

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bud Cauley

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Calum Hill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Casey Jarvis

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Charley Hoffman

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 121

Description

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the BMW PGA Championship leader market tracks the current odds for each golfer to be leading after the first round, along with the price history of those odds. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,535, and the total volume traded to date, which is $1,535. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different players taking an early lead at Wentworth. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect the latest market activity.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments as traders buy and sell shares. Discrepancies can arise due to differing perceptions of player form, course conditions, or even public sentiment. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more competitive odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights for informed decision-making.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will resolve to the golfer who holds the lowest score after the completion of the first round of the BMW PGA Championship. Official tournament results will be used to determine the leader, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final leaderboard and their positions in this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather forecasts (particularly wind and rain), or late withdrawals will likely cause shifts in the odds. Live performance during practice rounds and early tee times on the first day of the tournament will also be closely watched. Unexpected strong or weak starts from key players will quickly be reflected in trading activity. Finally, any significant public endorsements or expert analysis could also influence trader sentiment and move the market.