TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 2:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments as traders buy and sell shares. Discrepancies can arise due to differing perceptions of player form, course conditions, or even public sentiment. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more competitive odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will resolve to the golfer who holds the lowest score after the completion of the first round of the BMW PGA Championship. Official tournament results will be used to determine the leader, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final leaderboard and their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather forecasts (particularly wind and rain), or late withdrawals will likely cause shifts in the odds. Live performance during practice rounds and early tee times on the first day of the tournament will also be closely watched. Unexpected strong or weak starts from key players will quickly be reflected in trading activity. Finally, any significant public endorsements or expert analysis could also influence trader sentiment and move the market.