TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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DP World India Championship End of Round 1 Leader
kalshi

Who will lead after Round 1?

Oct 12, 2026, 4:10 PM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 8:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$1,194,612
Volume 24h:
$995,782
415%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$1,165,743
144%

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

 - Kalshi

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 1, 2026

Time left: 16d:20h:11m

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra leads at the end of Round 1

27%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 27¢ buys you 370 shares | Odds: 27% Total Payout: $370 | Net Profit: $270 Multiplier: 3.70x | ROI: 270% APY not meaningful 16 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

Trade
27%
15%
Yes 27¢No 87¢
14¢
N/A
$82,439
351%
N/A
$80,458
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Ewen Ferguson

Trade
21%
1%
Yes 20¢No 100¢
20¢
N/A
$9,992
4,475%
N/A
$7,582
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Tom McKibbin

Trade
15%
11%
Yes 21¢No 98¢
19¢
N/A
$43,973
4,182%
N/A
$43,429
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Robert MacIntyre

Trade
13%
4%
Yes 10¢No 96.7¢
6.7¢
N/A
$18,399
306%
N/A
$18,399
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Rikuya Hoshino

Trade
7%
Yes 5.6¢No 95.3¢
0.9¢
N/A
$24,394
0%
N/A
$24,214
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Marcus Armitage

Trade
7%
Yes 6.2¢No 97.8¢
4¢
N/A
$12,274
0%
N/A
$10,690
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Rory McIlroy

Trade
6%
3%
Yes 3.9¢No 100¢
3.9¢
N/A
$39,391
178%
N/A
$37,693
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Shane Lowry

Trade
6%
3%
Yes 63¢No 99¢
62¢
N/A
$34,776
370%
N/A
$34,136
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Thomas Detry

Trade
6%
3%
Yes 4.5¢No 100¢
4.5¢
N/A
$26,962
1,819%
N/A
$20,929
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Aaron Rai

Trade
5%
3%
Yes 5¢No 99.7¢
4.7¢
N/A
$51,237
857%
N/A
$50,055
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Tom Vaillant

Trade
5%
1%
Yes 2.6¢No 100¢
2.6¢
N/A
$60,477
2,352%
N/A
$60,477
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Darius Van Driel

Trade
4%
Yes 1.7¢No 100¢
1.7¢
N/A
$3,816
0%
N/A
$3,816
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Jacob Skov Olesen

Trade
4%
Yes 3.6¢No 99.9¢
3.5¢
N/A
$4,294
2,345%
N/A
$4,294
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Justin Rose

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 3.5¢No 100¢
3.5¢
N/A
$16,955
131%
N/A
$16,955
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Tommy Fleetwood

Trade
3%
6%
Yes 5.3¢No 100¢
5.3¢
N/A
$48,233
772%
N/A
$47,887
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Ryan Fox

Trade
3%
Yes 3.5¢No 100¢
3.5¢
N/A
$18,894
4,955%
N/A
$18,894
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Thriston Lawrence

Trade
3%
21%
Yes 3.2¢No 100¢
3.2¢
N/A
$43,354
490%
N/A
$43,354
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Patrick Reed

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 99.9¢
2.9¢
N/A
$10,534
272%
N/A
$10,529
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Casey Jarvis

Trade
3%
Yes 2.5¢No 99.9¢
2.4¢
N/A
$23,561
152%
N/A
$23,561
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Daniel Hillier

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 3¢No 99.9¢
2.9¢
N/A
$13,525
815%
N/A
$13,525
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Oliver Lindell

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$24,109
0%
N/A
$24,109
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Brandon Robinson-Thompson

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$18,934
0%
N/A
$18,934
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Shubhankar Sharma

Trade
2%
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$17,396
770%
N/A
$16,531
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Jens Dantorp

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$15,590
0%
N/A
$15,590
2w 2d 20h
active
kalshi

Joost Luiten

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$13,015
328%
N/A
$13,015
2w 2d 20h
active
Total markets: 25 of 144

Intro

This market tracks which golfer will be leading after the first round of the 2026 DP World India Championship. Currently, Kalshi gives Tom McKibbin a 24.0% probability of leading at the end of Round 1, while Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra is at 21.0%. The market will resolve based on who holds the lead at the conclusion of Round 1, as determined by official tournament scoring. Keep an eye on the first tee times on November 1st, 2026, as the initial scores from that morning will heavily influence the market’s direction as Round 1 progresses.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified golfer is the sole leader at the end of Round 1 of the 2026 DP World India Championship. If multiple participants share the lead, 'Yes' positions receive a payout of $1 divided by the number of tied leaders (rounded down to the nearest cent), while 'No' positions receive the remainder of the stake pool. The event is unaffiliated with the PGA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the DP World India Championship tracks the current odds for each golfer to be the leader after Round 1, the 24-hour trading volume, and a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $1,194,612, with $989,597 traded in the last 24 hours. You can see how traders are assessing the chances of each player as the event approaches, and monitor the market's activity to understand where the smart money is flowing regarding the DP World India Championship.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents a collective forecast from individuals trading on Kalshi. If a significant number of traders believe a golfer is more likely to lead than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly, potentially offering value to those who agree. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of a golfer’s form and the course conditions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each golfer being the Round 1 leader. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust these prices based on news, performance data, and their own analysis, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast. The market aggregates this information to provide a collective prediction for the DP World India Championship.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official leaderboard after Round 1 of the DP World India Championship is verifiable from credible public reporting. The golfer at the top of the leaderboard at the end of Round 1 will be declared the winner of this market. Any ties will be handled according to standard tournament rules, and the resolution will reflect the official tournament results as reported by authorized sources. The outcome is determined by the official results, not by any pre-defined criteria on Kalshi.

Several factors could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding golfer injuries, changes in weather forecasts impacting course conditions, or late withdrawals from the tournament would likely cause price fluctuations. Strong performances by certain golfers in practice rounds or early tournament play could also shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to course setup or player strategies could also influence trading activity. Monitoring these signals and how they are interpreted by traders on Kalshi is key to understanding potential market movements.