TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Vici Gaming and Grey Trac in the The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 15 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against Grey Trac. This market will resolve to "Grey Trac" if Grey Trac win the match against Vici Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Vici Gaming and Grey Trac in the The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 15 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against Grey Trac. This market will resolve to "Grey Trac" if Grey Trac win the match against Vici Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader consensus—no house edge or bookmaker adjustment. This market aggregates the views of thousands of participants risking real capital, which can surface insights sportsbooks miss, especially in niche esports matchups. However, sportsbook odds benefit from sharp professional traders and may react faster to breaking news. Comparing both sources provides a fuller picture of true win probability.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome—Vici Gaming victory or Grey Trac victory—floats based on supply and demand, with the sum of all outcome probabilities equaling 100 percent. As more traders back one team, its share price rises and the opposing team's falls. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information, team roster changes, recent performance, or injury reports. Liquidity depth determines how easily large trades can execute without slippage.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, once the Vici Gaming vs Grey Trac best-of-three series concludes and the winner is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the majority of games in the series—two wins clinches the match. Resolution occurs after the final game is played and official results are published by tournament organizers or major esports news outlets. Traders should monitor the International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs schedule to anticipate the exact timing.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before resolution. Roster changes, player substitutions, or injury announcements affecting either team will likely trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results and head-to-head records between the squads influence confidence in each outcome. Scrim results or public practice footage may leak insights into current form. Coaching decisions, draft strategy reveals, or meta shifts in the current patch can also sway expectations. Media analysis and expert commentary from prominent esports personalities often catalyze trading activity. Monitor team social media and esports news outlets for updates that could reshape market odds.