TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle - Match Result (1x2)
polymarket
kalshi
limitless

What is the result of Team Yandex vs Inner Circle?

Volume:
$29,586

Team Yandex

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 6:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Team Yandex

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Team Yandex

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,170
N/A
N/A
$4,471
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Inner Circle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,820
N/A
N/A
$6,802
Settled
No
polymarket

Inner Circle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,971
N/A
N/A
$2,922
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Team Yandex

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Inner Circle x Insanity

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers a Dota 2 best-of-two series between Team Yandex and Inner Circle (also referenced as Inner Circle x Insanity) scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET as part of the Esports World Cup 2026. Markets across three platforms attempt to predict the match outcome using different result formats: binary win/loss, series score (2-0, 1-1), and draw outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes. Additionally, platforms disagree on match format (single match vs best-of-two series), team naming (Inner Circle vs Inner Circle x Insanity), and cancellation handling. Polymarket and Limitless are internally consistent but incompatible with Kalshi.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi as unresolvable in its current form due to logical impossibility. Focus trading on Polymarket and Limitless, but verify team name alignment and confirm with tournament organizer whether this is a single match or best-of-two series before the event. Request Kalshi clarification immediately.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes for all three outcomes (Inner Circle wins, Team Yandex wins, Tie). This is logically impossible. References match scheduled Jul 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT without specifying series format or match structure.
  • Polymarket: Explicitly best-of-two series with three mutually exclusive outcomes: Team Yandex 2-0 resolves Yes/No, Draw 1-1 resolves Yes/No, Inner Circle 2-0 resolves Yes/No. Cancellation without makeup: Draw resolves Yes, other outcomes resolve No. Official tournament organizer result is primary source.
  • Limitless: Best-of-two series with three outcomes: Team Yandex win (Yes/No), Inner Circle x Insanity win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No). Uses team name variant Inner Circle x Insanity. Unresolved matches default to Other by August 8, 2026, 23:59 UTC.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series, scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, if the series ends in a draw (1-1), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the series is postponed, this market will remain open until the series has been completed. If the series is canceled entirely, with no make-up, this market will resolve "Yes". This market refers only to the result of the best-of-two series (both games). The primary resolution source for this market is the official results of the event as recognized by the tournament organizer. However, if the tournament organizer has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the tournament organizer. Revisions to officially declared final results made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Dota 2 match between Inner Circle and Team Yandex at the Esports World Cup 2026. Resolution occurs when either team achieves victory or the match concludes in a tie, with each possible outcome corresponding to a distinct market resolution.

Limitless

This market refers to the match between Team Yandex and Inner Circle x Insanity in the Esports World Cup 2026, scheduled for Jul 8, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 8, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Yandex vs Inner Circle Dota 2 match, tracking consensus probability on all three outcomes: Team Yandex victory, Inner Circle victory, or a draw. By monitoring both platforms simultaneously, you see how professional traders and casual predictors price the same event, revealing where conviction is strongest and where disagreement exists. The combined view helps you spot arbitrage opportunities and understand which outcome the broader prediction market community favors as the match approaches.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets reflect what traders actually believe will happen—since they profit directly from accuracy. Prediction market odds often incorporate faster-moving information and can be more efficient than traditional sportsbooks, especially for niche esports matchups. However, sportsbook odds benefit from professional oddsmakers' expertise and real-time adjustment. Comparing both sources helps you identify mispricing and sharpen your edge on this market.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, causing temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also resolve using slightly different verification timelines or data sources, creating uncertainty that traders price in differently. Platform-specific rules around trading halts, withdrawal delays, or market pausing can also shift incentives. These divergences typically narrow as the match approaches and arbitrageurs exploit the spread, but they offer opportunities for alert traders to identify undervalued outcomes on either side.

Team roster changes, player injuries, or last-minute substitutions can shift odds significantly, as can recent tournament performance and head-to-head records. Patch updates to Dota 2 itself may favor one team's playstyle over the other, triggering repricing. Public statements from coaches or players, scrim results, or leaked strategies can also influence trader sentiment. As the match date approaches, betting volume typically increases and odds stabilize. Any unexpected news about either team's preparation or competitive standing will likely trigger sharp moves in this market.