TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Match Winner
all
3 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Closed: Aug 13, 7:48 AM EST
Polymarket
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)
Intro
This market tracks which team will secure first blood in the first game of the Team Spirit versus Xtreme Gaming best-of-three series at The International 2026 group stage. The aggregated consensus probability for first blood in Game 1 is 99.0%, with a secondary outcome for first blood in Game 2 also at 99.0%, drawing data from Predict, Kalshi, Limitless, and Polymarket, and resolving based on dotabuff.com. Watch for the match on August 13, 2026, which determines the group stage results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use dotabuff.com as the primary resolution source with credible reporting as backup, and consistently apply 50-50 resolution for cancellations, uncompleted matches, and forfeitures unless a winner is determined.Primary resolution logic: https://www.dotabuff.comCore resolution logic:
- Match results resolve based on official dotabuff.com data within 2 hours of event conclusion
- Credible reporting or video evidence used if dotabuff.com lacks data
- 50-50 resolution applies for cancellations, uncompleted matches, and forfeitures unless a winner is determined through forfeiture/disqualification
- Name discrepancies (spelling, sponsor tags, regional identifiers) are resolved based on real-world team identification
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Forfeit/Walkover: Resolves to 50-50 unless a winner is determined through forfeiture/disqualification before the match starts
- Remade Game: Resolution based on the remade game only for affected markets
- Incomplete Game: Resolves based on completed portions unless the entire match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days
Polymarket
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Spirit and Xtreme Gaming in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Xtreme Gaming. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
If Xtreme Gaming wins The International 2026: Xtreme Gaming vs. Team Spirit Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Team Spirit wins The International 2026: Xtreme Gaming vs. Team Spirit Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Predict
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Spirit and Xtreme Gaming in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Xtreme Gaming. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between TEAM VISION and Team Resilience in the The International 2026, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win the match against Team Resilience. This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win the match against TEAM VISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.