TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether any player will achieve an Ultra Kill during Game 3 of the Team Spirit versus Nigma Galaxy best-of-three match in the Dota 2 The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs Upper bracket semifinal. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by match data from Dotabuff. Watch for the match scheduled on June 25, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET to see whether either team's players secure the required five consecutive kills without dying.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Spirit and Nigma Galaxy in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 25 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds based on their risk management and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what thousands of participants collectively believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional bettors and casual traders see different probabilities, though each venue serves different purposes and operates under distinct regulatory frameworks.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result from The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds shift. Resolution happens automatically once the event is finalized and reported by authoritative esports sources.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before Jun 25, 2026. Team roster changes, player substitutions, or injury announcements affecting either squad would likely trigger price movement. Pre-match analysis from professional commentators and coach interviews can influence trader sentiment. Recent tournament results, patch updates to the game, and head-to-head records between the teams all serve as catalysts. Additionally, betting trends and large trades from prominent community members often spark follow-on activity, amplifying volatility in the final hours before the match begins.