TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
Volume:
$190,550
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-2 Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and MOUZ in DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B, scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Markets track the overall match winner, Game 1 winner, and Game 2 winner across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction (both outcomes resolve to Yes) and references tournament-level outcome rather than match-specific result. Polymarket uses fragmented sources: DotaBuff for overall match, Twitch for individual games with consensus fallback. Source reliability and scope mismatch create unresolvability risk.Hero Tip:
Kalshi market is fundamentally unresolvable due to logical contradiction. For Polymarket, treat Game 1 and Game 2 markets as more reliable (Twitch primary + consensus fallback) than the overall match market (DotaBuff-only, no fallback). Verify results on ESL_DOTA2 Twitch within 12 hours of match conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: References DreamLeague 2026 tournament winner, not the specific Team Spirit vs MOUZ match. Both Team Spirit and MOUZ winning scenarios are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. This market cannot be resolved as written.
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with different sources: (1) Overall match uses DotaBuff only; (2) Game 1 uses Twitch (ESL_DOTA2) primary with 12-hour fallback to consensus reporting; (3) Game 2 uses Twitch primary with 12-hour fallback to consensus reporting. Tie/cancellation/delay >7 days resolves to 50-50 for overall match; incomplete games resolve to 50-50 for individual game markets. Forfeits/walkovers before start resolve to 50-50 for overall match but completed forfeits resolve to winner.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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