TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, if the series ends in a draw (1-1), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the series is postponed, this market will remain open until the series has been completed. If the series is canceled entirely, with no make-up, this market will resolve "Yes". This market refers only to the result of the best-of-two series (both games). The primary resolution source for this market is the official results of the event as recognized by the tournament organizer. However, if the tournament organizer has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the tournament organizer. Revisions to officially declared final results made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, if the series ends in a draw (1-1), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the series is postponed, this market will remain open until the series has been completed. If the series is canceled entirely, with no make-up, this market will resolve "Yes". This market refers only to the result of the best-of-two series (both games). The primary resolution source for this market is the official results of the event as recognized by the tournament organizer. However, if the tournament organizer has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the tournament organizer. Revisions to officially declared final results made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes through direct trader participation and real-money incentives. Traders betting their own capital tend to incorporate recent form, roster changes, and meta shifts more dynamically than traditional sportsbooks update their lines. For esports events like this match, prediction markets can react faster to breaking news or community consensus shifts, sometimes offering sharper or more efficient pricing than fixed sportsbook odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) model where traders buy and sell outcome shares directly against a liquidity pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome—Nemesis win, PARIVISION win, or draw—adjusts in real time based on the ratio of shares in the pool and the total liquidity available. As traders accumulate shares in one outcome, its price rises and others fall, creating a self-balancing mechanism. This continuous repricing ensures the market reflects the collective belief of all active traders at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Dota 2 match between Nemesis and PARIVISION concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final match result: whether Nemesis wins, PARIVISION wins, or the match ends in a draw. Resolution occurs after the match is officially completed and confirmed through established esports reporting channels. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout once the market settles.
Several factors could shift odds before the match concludes. Roster announcements, player injuries, or last-minute lineup changes for either team would likely trigger sharp price movements. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and meta shifts in the current Dota 2 patch can influence trader sentiment. Scrimmage results or public statements from coaches and players may also sway the market. As match day approaches, increased media coverage and community discussion often drive volume and volatility. Any unexpected news about team preparation or external circumstances could prompt rapid repricing across all three outcomes.