TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 8:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers the outcome of a best-of-two Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and Nigma Galaxy scheduled for July 31, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET, part of the 1win Essence Group B tournament. The markets focus on whether Team Falcons wins 2-0, whether the series ends in a 1-1 draw, or whether Nigma Galaxy wins 2-0.
This event refers to the Dota 2 best-of-two series between Team Falcons and Nigma Galaxy in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for July 31 at 1:00PM ET. The series can end in exactly one of three outcomes: Team Falcons winning both games (2-0), a draw (1-1), or Nigma Galaxy winning both games (2-0). The market matching the final series result will resolve to "Yes" and the other markets will resolve to "No". If the series is postponed, the markets will remain open until the series has been completed. If the series is canceled entirely, with no make-up, the draw market will resolve "Yes". The resolution source for this event will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Nigma Galaxy vs. Team Falcons Dota 2 match scheduled for July 31, 2026, at 1:00 PM EDT, as part of the 1win Essence 2026 tournament. If Nigma Galaxy wins, the 'Nigma Galaxy' market resolves to Yes; if Team Falcons wins, the 'Team Falcons' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the match be postponed and fail to complete within 48 hours of its original start time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before play begins, all markets resolve to their respective fair market prices. If the match begins but is later forfeited, the outcome is determined by the official result published by the tournament organizer or governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before it settles. Key player injuries, coaching changes, or recent performance in practice matches may influence trader sentiment. Also, significant betting activity on either platform can cause price adjustments, especially if large trades are placed by high-volume participants. Media narratives and expert commentary leading up to the event often impact perceptions of team strength, further moving this market as new information emerges.