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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B

Volume:
$220,965

Team Falcons

 - Kalshi

Team Falcons - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 17, 12:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Team Falcons

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,466
$2,656
N/A
N/A
$1,794
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Natus Vincere

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,794
$7,279
N/A
N/A
$5,152
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$99,733
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,933
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Match Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,364
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-2 Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and Natus Vincere in DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B, scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Markets track the overall match winner, Game 1 winner, and Game 2 winner across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi frames resolution around tournament outcome (winning DreamLeague 2026) rather than direct match result, while Polymarket resolves directly on match winner with explicit tie and cancellation rules. Additionally, Polymarket uses multiple resolution sources (Dotabuff for overall match, Twitch for individual games) with different fallback windows.Hero tip: On Polymarket, the match must complete within 7 days of Feb 17 to avoid 50-50 resolution. On Kalshi, verify whether a match win is sufficient or if tournament advancement is also required. Use Dotabuff as the authoritative source for Polymarket overall match resolution, and Twitch for individual game results with a 12-hour publication window before credible reporting fallback applies.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins the match, but the condition is nested within a tournament outcome frame (If Natus Vincere wins DreamLeague 2026, then the match resolves Yes). This creates ambiguity: does the match result alone trigger Yes, or must the team also advance in the tournament? Key Quote: 'If Natus Vincere wins DreamLeague 2026: Natus Vincere vs. Team Falcons Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Feb 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three distinct markets: (1) Overall match resolves to Team Falcons or Natus Vincere based on match winner, or 50-50 if canceled, tied, delayed beyond 7 days, or forfeited before start. (2) Game 1 and Game 2 markets resolve to winner if completed, or 50-50 if not completed or match canceled/delayed beyond 7 days. Overall match uses Dotabuff; individual games use Twitch with 12-hour fallback to credible reporting. Key Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.