TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
Volume:
$141,508
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Dota 2 best-of-two (BO2) match between Team Falcons and Execration scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET as part of DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B. Markets track the overall match winner, Game 1 winner, and Game 2 winner across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's conditional tournament-victory framing conflicts with Polymarket's direct match-outcome resolution. Additionally, Polymarket Game 1/Game 2 markets use Twitch as primary source with credible reporting fallback, while the overall match references Dotabuff, creating potential source fragmentation.Hero Tip:
Traders should treat Kalshi and Polymarket markets as distinct settlement paths. For Polymarket, prioritize Twitch official results within 12 hours; if delayed, monitor credible Dota 2 reporting (e.g., Liquipedia, ESL official channels). Confirm Kalshi's intent: does it resolve on match outcome alone, or does tournament advancement matter?Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if Team Falcons wins DreamLeague 2026 match OR if Execration wins DreamLeague 2026 match. Logic is framed conditionally on tournament victory, not isolated match outcome. No explicit tie/cancellation rules provided.
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: (1) Overall match resolves to Team Falcons or Execration, with 50-50 on cancellation/tie/7-day delay; (2) Game 1 resolves based on Twitch primary source, 50-50 if not completed or delayed beyond 7 days; (3) Game 2 same as Game 1. Fallback to credible reporting if Twitch silent after 12 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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