TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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PlayTime
- Kalshi
PlayTime - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 16, 2026
Closed: Jun 16, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-3 Dota 2 match between RisingRage and Estar Backs in the International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for June 15, 2026. Markets span series outcome, individual game winners, game-specific mechanics (Roshan kills, barracks destruction, rampages, ultra kills, day/night cycle timing), and handicap betting.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi references a different match (Estar Backs vs PlayTime, Jun 16) than Limitless and Polymarket (RisingRage vs Estar Backs, Jun 15). Additionally, Limitless and Polymarket diverge on forfeit/walkover treatment: Limitless resolves to the declared winner; Polymarket resolves 50-50 for pre-match forfeits.Hero tip: Do not cross-trade between Kalshi and the other platforms—they track different matches. Between Limitless and Polymarket, the critical divergence is forfeit handling. If a forfeit occurs before the match starts, Limitless pays the winner while Polymarket splits the pot. Confirm the official match schedule and bracket before placing large positions.Critical divergence points:
- Limitless: Covers RisingRage vs Estar Backs (Jun 15, 2026). Forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers resolve to the declared winner, regardless of match start status. Resolution deadline: July 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Key Quote: 'If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner.'
- Polymarket: Covers RisingRage vs Estar Backs (Jun 15, 2026, 1:00 PM ET). Pre-match forfeits/walkovers resolve 50-50. Mid-match forfeits on the clinching game count as completed. Deadline: 7 days from scheduled date (June 22, 2026). Key Quote: 'If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.' For pre-match: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason)... this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: References 'The International South America Closed Qualifier 2026: estarbacks vs. PlayTime' match on Jun 16, 2026, 7:00 PM EDT—a different matchup entirely. This is not the RisingRage vs Estar Backs series tracked by Limitless and Polymarket.
Polymarket
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket round 1 match between RisingRage and Estar Backs in the The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 15 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RisingRage" if RisingRage win the match against Estar Backs. This market will resolve to "Estar Backs" if Estar Backs win the match against RisingRage. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
The International South America Closed Qualifier 2026 match between estar_backs and PlayTime is scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. Resolution depends on the match outcome: if estar_backs wins, their corresponding market resolves to Yes; if PlayTime wins, their corresponding market resolves to Yes. Each team has a separate market tied to their victory in this single Dota 2 match.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between RisingRage and Estar Backs in the The International South America Closed Qualifier 2026, scheduled for Jun 15, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by July 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Team roster changes, player substitutions, or injury announcements could shift odds significantly before the series begins. Recent tournament results, scrim performance leaks, and public statements from team leadership often influence trader sentiment. Patch updates to Dota 2 that alter hero viability may favor one team's draft style over the other. Media coverage, betting syndicate activity, and shifts in platform liquidity can also trigger price swings. Monitor official team communications and esports news outlets for developments that could reshape expectations heading into this matchup.
