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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs
polymarket
kalshi

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

Volume:
$223,165

Game 1 Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 13, 2026

Closed: Apr 9, 1:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85,056
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nigma Galaxy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,068
N/A
N/A
$3,894
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,097
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

PARIVISION

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,735
N/A
N/A
$2,576
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,880
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 73

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-3 Dota 2 match between PARIVISION and Nigma Galaxy in the PREMIER SERIES Playoffs Upper Bracket Semifinal, scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Markets span match outcome, individual game winners, in-game statistics (kills, day/night cycle timing, objective destruction), and rare events (rampages, ultra kills).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides comprehensive, game-level resolution logic with explicit edge-case handling (forfeits, remakes, 7-day delays, incomplete games). Kalshi's binary series outcome market lacks detail on forfeit/walkover treatment and match completion criteria, creating ambiguity in edge scenarios.Hero tip: Polymarket traders should focus on game-level markets (Game 1/2/3 winners, in-game stats) which have clear, detailed resolution rules. Kalshi traders should seek clarification on whether a forfeit/walkover counts as a match win before trading the series outcome, as the current language does not explicitly address these scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Defines 40+ distinct markets covering match outcome, individual game winners, in-game statistics (kills, day/night timing, barracks/Roshan destruction), and rare events (rampages, ultra kills). Each market specifies: (1) completion criteria (game must be fully played or forfeit with winner determined), (2) 7-day delay threshold (beyond which resolves 50-50), (3) remake handling (resolution based on remade game), (4) forfeit/walkover rules (series resolves 50-50 if match incomplete; individual games resolve based on pre-stoppage state). Key quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Defines a single binary market: 'If Nigma Galaxy wins... then Yes' or 'If PARIVISION wins... then Yes.' No explicit guidance on forfeits, walkovers, incomplete matches, 7-day delays, or remake scenarios. Resolution source and edge-case handling are absent. Key quote: 'If Nigma Galaxy wins PREMIER SERIES 2026: Nigma Galaxy vs. PARIVISION Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Apr 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.