TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs
Volume:
$223,165
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-3 Dota 2 match between PARIVISION and Nigma Galaxy in the PREMIER SERIES Playoffs Upper Bracket Semifinal, scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Markets span match outcome, individual game winners, in-game statistics (kills, day/night cycle timing, objective destruction), and rare events (rampages, ultra kills).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, game-level resolution logic with explicit edge-case handling (forfeits, remakes, 7-day delays, incomplete games). Kalshi's binary series outcome market lacks detail on forfeit/walkover treatment and match completion criteria, creating ambiguity in edge scenarios.Hero Tip:
Polymarket traders should focus on game-level markets (Game 1/2/3 winners, in-game stats) which have clear, detailed resolution rules. Kalshi traders should seek clarification on whether a forfeit/walkover counts as a match win before trading the series outcome, as the current language does not explicitly address these scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Defines 40+ distinct markets covering match outcome, individual game winners, in-game statistics (kills, day/night timing, barracks/Roshan destruction), and rare events (rampages, ultra kills). Each market specifies: (1) completion criteria (game must be fully played or forfeit with winner determined), (2) 7-day delay threshold (beyond which resolves 50-50), (3) remake handling (resolution based on remade game), (4) forfeit/walkover rules (series resolves 50-50 if match incomplete; individual games resolve based on pre-stoppage state). Key quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Defines a single binary market: 'If Nigma Galaxy wins... then Yes' or 'If PARIVISION wins... then Yes.' No explicit guidance on forfeits, walkovers, incomplete matches, 7-day delays, or remake scenarios. Resolution source and edge-case handling are absent. Key quote: 'If Nigma Galaxy wins PREMIER SERIES 2026: Nigma Galaxy vs. PARIVISION Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Apr 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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