TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Apr 18, 3:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the combined kill count across both teams in Game 1 of the PARIVISION versus MOUZ Dota 2 matchup will exceed 40.5 kills. On Polymarket, the Over outcome is priced at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by official match data from Dotabuff. Watch for the match scheduled on April 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET to see how aggressive both teams play in the opening game.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds more slowly and build in larger margins. Prediction markets reward early information and sharp analysis, so odds can shift rapidly as new roster updates, scrim results, or player status emerge. Comparing Polymarket odds to major esports sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities before traditional venues adjust their lines.
On Polymarket, the Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into implied probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome contract trades independently, and prices update continuously as buy and sell orders flow in. The current top outcome reflects market consensus on the most likely result. Liquidity depth determines how much price movement occurs per unit of volume, so deeper markets allow larger trades with minimal slippage.
The market resolves on Apr 18, 2026 following the completion of the Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage match. Resolution is determined by the official PGL tournament results and broadcast outcome. Once the series concludes and the winner is confirmed, the market settles automatically based on which team or player outcome occurred. Early resolution may occur if the match is cancelled or postponed under specific conditions outlined in the market terms.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries, or last-minute stand-in confirmations for either PARIVISION or MOUZ. Recent tournament results and head-to-head records between the teams will influence trader positioning. Scrim leaks or public practice session outcomes can shift sentiment rapidly. Meta shifts from patch updates may favor one team's hero pool or playstyle. Media coverage, expert analysis, and community sentiment on social platforms also drive trading activity. Odds typically tighten as match time approaches and uncertainty decreases.