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Dota 2: OG vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Dota 2: OG vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

Volume:
$135,078

Game 2 Winner

 - Polymarket

Game 2 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 23, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 7:55 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,596
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$726
N/A
N/A
$726
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$13,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

OG

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,925
N/A
N/A
$2,898
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nigma Galaxy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,079
N/A
N/A
$1,055
Settled
No
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 66

Description

This event group covers a best-of-two (BO2) Dota 2 match between OG and Nigma Galaxy scheduled for March 22, 2026, at ESL One Birmingham Group B. Markets span match outcome, individual game winners, in-game mechanics (Roshan kills, barracks destruction, day/night cycle timing, multi-kill achievements), and granular kill-count thresholds across both games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's tournament-outcome market is logically incoherent (resolves YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes), while Polymarket correctly structures match-specific binary resolution. Additionally, Kalshi references a tournament winner that may not align with a single BO2 match result.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's match outcome market entirely — it is unresolvable. Use Polymarket for match winner and all in-game mechanics. Confirm game completion and DotaBuff publication within 2 hours of event end; if DotaBuff is unavailable, credible video evidence and consensus reporting are acceptable fallbacks.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Tournament-level outcome market that resolves YES if OG wins ESL One Birmingham 2026, YES if a Tie occurs, and YES if Nigma Galaxy wins ESL One Birmingham 2026. This creates a logical tautology where all possible outcomes resolve to YES, making the market unresolvable and unsuitable for trading.
  • Polymarket: Match-specific binary resolution: OG wins BO2 → resolves OG; Nigma wins BO2 → resolves Nigma Galaxy; cancelled, delayed >7 days, or forfeit/walkover → resolves 50-50. Clear, mutually exclusive outcomes tied to the specific BO2 match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.