TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dota 2: OG vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
Volume:
$135,078
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-two (BO2) Dota 2 match between OG and Nigma Galaxy scheduled for March 22, 2026, at ESL One Birmingham Group B. Markets span match outcome, individual game winners, in-game mechanics (Roshan kills, barracks destruction, day/night cycle timing, multi-kill achievements), and granular kill-count thresholds across both games.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's tournament-outcome market is logically incoherent (resolves YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes), while Polymarket correctly structures match-specific binary resolution. Additionally, Kalshi references a tournament winner that may not align with a single BO2 match result.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's match outcome market entirely — it is unresolvable. Use Polymarket for match winner and all in-game mechanics. Confirm game completion and DotaBuff publication within 2 hours of event end; if DotaBuff is unavailable, credible video evidence and consensus reporting are acceptable fallbacks.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Tournament-level outcome market that resolves YES if OG wins ESL One Birmingham 2026, YES if a Tie occurs, and YES if Nigma Galaxy wins ESL One Birmingham 2026. This creates a logical tautology where all possible outcomes resolve to YES, making the market unresolvable and unsuitable for trading.
- Polymarket: Match-specific binary resolution: OG wins BO2 → resolves OG; Nigma wins BO2 → resolves Nigma Galaxy; cancelled, delayed >7 days, or forfeit/walkover → resolves 50-50. Clear, mutually exclusive outcomes tied to the specific BO2 match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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