TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 3:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether any player will achieve an Ultra Kill in Game 3 of the Nigma Galaxy versus Team Falcons best-of-three series during the The International Playoffs. On Polymarket, the current probability for an Ultra Kill occurring is 100%. The result will be resolved using data from https://www.dotabuff.com. The crucial moment to watch will be the match on August 20, 2026, which will determine whether an Ultra Kill happens in Game 3.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Falcons in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Nigma Galaxy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to community-driven pricing and unique betting dynamics. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and historical data, prediction markets let traders bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more volatile odds. Comparing the two can reveal shifts in sentiment or informational advantages as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on the playoff match results, specifically who wins the best-of-three series between the two teams. Once official results are reported, the market settles automatically based on the final match outcome.
Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, team strategy announcements, recent performance in practice matches, and in-game momentum during the live series. Any unexpected changes — such as a star player being ruled out or a coach adjusting tactics — may cause rapid price swings. Traders will also watch analyst commentary and betting trends for early indicators of shifting sentiment.