TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Match Winner
- Predict
Match Winner - Predict
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 23, 2026
Closed: Jun 23, 5:47 PM EST
Predict
Description
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Natus Vincere in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 23 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Nigma Galaxy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Predict
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Natus Vincere in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 23 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Nigma Galaxy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect aggregated trader conviction backed by real financial stakes. While sports analysts rely on team form, roster changes, and historical matchup data, this market prices in live information and trader positioning. Comparing the implied probability here to published expert predictions can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus opinion may be underweighting a team's chances. Such gaps sometimes signal emerging information or differing risk assessments between professional analysts and active market participants.
On Predict, this market is priced through continuous order matching, where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative bids and asks from participants, with spreads tightening as liquidity increases. Traders can enter limit or market orders to position themselves ahead of the match, and the platform updates odds in real time as new trades execute. This mechanism ensures prices remain responsive to new information and shifting expectations about the Dota 2 matchup.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the best-of-three series concludes and the winner is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the required number of games to take the series. Resolution occurs after the final game result is confirmed and reported by official tournament channels or recognized esports media. No ambiguity typically surrounds Dota 2 match outcomes, as the in-game victory condition is objective and immediately apparent to all observers.
Market prices may shift based on roster announcements, player substitutions, or injury updates affecting either team's lineup. Recent tournament results and head-to-head performance trends can trigger repricing as traders reassess competitive balance. Patch changes to the Dota 2 game itself may favor one team's strategic strengths over the other, prompting position adjustments. Media coverage, expert commentary, and community sentiment around team form or momentum can also influence trader behavior. Finally, betting activity from high-volume participants or sharp traders entering the market may signal new information and move implied odds significantly.
