TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-2 Dota 2 match between MOUZ and REKONIX scheduled for ESL One Birmingham Group A on March 22, 2026. Markets span match outcome, individual game winners, and granular in-game statistics (kills, Roshan/barracks destruction, rampages, ultras, daytime resolution, and first blood).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket use identical resolution logic: DotaBuff as primary source, 2-hour fallback window, 7-day delay threshold, and 50-50 resolution for cancellations, forfeits, walkovers, incomplete games, and unplayed games in a series.
Primary resolution logic:
DotaBuff (https://www.dotabuff.com); credible reporting and video evidence if DotaBuff does not publish within 2 hours of event conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Match Outcome (BO2): Resolves to MOUZ if MOUZ wins the series, REKONIX if REKONIX wins. Resolves 50-50 if match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined. Forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers before play begins resolve 50-50; forfeits during play resolve to the winning team.
- Game 1 Winner: Resolves to MOUZ or REKONIX based on Game 1 outcome. If Game 1 is not completed, resolves 50-50. If match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days without play, resolves 50-50.
- Game 2 Winner: Resolves to MOUZ or REKONIX based on Game 2 outcome. If Game 2 is not played (series decided, forfeit, walkover), resolves 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, resolves 50-50.
- In-Game Statistics (Kills, Roshan, Barracks, Rampages, Ultras): Resolve based on completed game data. If game is not played or series is decided before that game, resolves 50-50. If game begins but is not completed, resolves based on data prior to stoppage (or 50-50 if condition not met).
- Daytime Resolution: Resolves Yes if game-ending action occurs during daytime phase (0:00-5:00, 10:00-15:00, 20:00-25:00, etc.); No if during nighttime. Resolves 50-50 if game not played or series decided before that game.
- First Blood: Resolves to the team securing first blood. If first blood does not occur or game is not played, resolves 50-50. If game is remade, first blood prior to remake counts; if no first blood prior to remake, resolution based on remade game.
- Game Remakes: If a game is remade, resolution is based on the remade game only (except first blood, which uses pre-remake data if available).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Series Decided Before Game 2: If MOUZ or REKONIX wins Game 1 in a BO2, Game 2 is not played. All Game 2 markets (winner, kills, Roshan, barracks, rampages, ultras, daytime, first blood) resolve 50-50.
- Incomplete Game with Forfeit: If a game begins but is not completed due to forfeit, in-game statistic markets resolve based on data prior to stoppage. If the condition (e.g., both teams killed Roshan) was not met before stoppage, market resolves No. Game winner resolves to the team winning via forfeit.
- Match Cancellation or 7-Day Delay: If match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days from scheduled date (March 22, 2026) without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50.
- Walkover or Disqualification Before Play: If match ends via walkover or disqualification before any game is played, match outcome resolves 50-50. All game-specific markets resolve 50-50.
- First Blood Never Occurs: If a game is completed but first blood never occurred, first blood market resolves 50-50.
Timing:
Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the match concludes (all games played or series decided). If DotaBuff does not publish by then, credible reporting and video evidence are used. Markets remain open until official result is confirmed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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