TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - More Markets
polymarket
kalshi

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - More Markets

Volume:
$613,890

Game 2 Winner

 - Polymarket

Game 2 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 12:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$329,655
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,747
N/A
N/A
$6,690
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$230,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MOUZ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,754
N/A
N/A
$21,363
Settled
No
kalshi

LGD Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,821
N/A
N/A
$16,745
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks whether LGD Gaming secures the first blood in Game 1 of their Dota 2 match against MOUZ. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 100.0%, drawing data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and resolves using official information from Dotabuff, with credible reporting as a backup. The outcome will be confirmed by the end of the Game 1 match window on July 30, 2026, aligning with the scheduled event date for this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi share consistent resolution logic based on official Dotabuff data, with credible reporting as a backup.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://www.dotabuff.com, with credible reporting used if Dotabuff does not publish within 2 hours

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the official match results and in-game events as reported by Dotabuff
  • If Dotabuff does not publish results within 2 hours, credible reporting including video evidence is used
  • Incomplete or canceled games resolve to 50-50 unless specific conditions are met (e.g., Roshan kills or barracks destruction prior to stoppage)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match not played: All markets resolve to 50-50 if the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or not played due to forfeit/disqualification
  • Game remade: Resolution is based on the remade game only
  • Series result determined early: Markets not requiring play (e.g., Game 2 if series is clinched) resolve to 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, using Dotabuff or credible reportingOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between LGD Gaming and MOUZ, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the MOUZ vs. LGD Gaming Dota 2 match scheduled for July 30, 2026, at 7:00 AM EDT, as part of the 1win Essence 2026 tournament. If the match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of its original start time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins but is later forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the tournament organizer or governing body. The market specifically tracks the full match result, with separate outcomes for MOUZ, LGD Gaming, and Tie victories.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the LGD vs MOUZ Dota 2 match market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing the current consensus view and volume across venues. It tracks the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi, updating continuously to reflect shifts in sentiment. You can see how the probability of different outcomes evolves, along with total volume of $613,890 and 24-hour volume of $611,788. This gives you a live snapshot of market expectations for this competitive matchup.