TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dota 2: Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy?

Volume:
$461,015

Nigma Galaxy

 - Kalshi

Nigma Galaxy - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 10:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nigma Galaxy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,599
N/A
N/A
$6,341
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$238,636
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$198,248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Level UP

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,181
N/A
N/A
$3,152
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,006
N/A
N/A
$796
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$445
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-2 (BO2) Dota 2 match between Level UP and Nigma Galaxy scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT as part of the Esports World Cup Group B. Markets span match outcome, individual game winners, and granular in-game metrics (kills, objectives, first blood, day/night cycle timing).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Nigma Galaxy win, Level UP win, Tie) are mapped to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically coherent and resolvable.Hero tip: Kalshi's match outcome market is broken and should not be traded. Focus exclusively on Polymarket's BO2 winner market and game-specific markets, which use dotabuff.com as the authoritative source with a 2-hour publication window and credible reporting consensus as fallback.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match outcome market maps all three possible outcomes (Nigma Galaxy wins, Level UP wins, Tie) to YES resolution. This is logically impossible for a BO2 series. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes and is unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: BO2 winner market resolves to Level UP or Nigma Galaxy based on series outcome. Tie, cancellation, or delay beyond 7 days without play resolves 50-50. Individual game markets resolve based on completed games with 50-50 fallback for incomplete or non-played games. Source: dotabuff.com with 2-hour publication window; credible reporting consensus if dotabuff unavailable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Level UP and Nigma Galaxy in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 10 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win the match against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Level UP. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Level UP at Esports World Cup 2026 scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match, or to Tie if the match ends in a draw.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy Dota 2 match at the Esports World Cup. Traders on both venues are pricing outcomes related to the best-of-two series, with combined volume of $461,015 across all linked markets. The aggregated view lets you compare how each platform's community is positioning ahead of the match, revealing consensus strength and any divergence in how different prediction communities assess the teams' chances.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price risk differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect real-time consensus from traders risking their own capital. This market's odds emerge from continuous trading rather than a bookmaker's model, often leading to sharper, more reactive pricing on major events. If you're familiar with esports betting lines, prediction market odds tend to move faster and incorporate late-breaking information more efficiently, though both venues ultimately reflect expected probabilities.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, recent tournament results, and head-to-head performance trends between the two teams. Injury reports, coaching changes, or public commentary from pro players can shift trader sentiment quickly. In-game events during earlier matches in the group stage may also influence expectations for this specific series. Major meta shifts in the patch or surprise hero picks in related games can reshape how traders assess team strengths, causing repricing across all linked outcomes on this market.