TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET, if the series ends in a draw (1-1), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the series is postponed, this market will remain open until the series has been completed. If the series is canceled entirely, with no make-up, this market will resolve "Yes". This market refers only to the result of the best-of-two series (both games). The primary resolution source for this market is the official results of the event as recognized by the tournament organizer. However, if the tournament organizer has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the tournament organizer. Revisions to officially declared final results made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET, if the series ends in a draw (1-1), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the series is postponed, this market will remain open until the series has been completed. If the series is canceled entirely, with no make-up, this market will resolve "Yes". This market refers only to the result of the best-of-two series (both games). The primary resolution source for this market is the official results of the event as recognized by the tournament organizer. However, if the tournament organizer has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the tournament organizer. Revisions to officially declared final results made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasts. Prediction markets typically aggregate dispersed information more efficiently over time, though sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news. For esports events like this match, comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to traditional oddsmakers, though both should be viewed as estimates rather than certainties.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of each outcome by buying and selling shares, with the current market price reflecting the collective belief in that result's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into Level UP or Aurora shares, the higher their implied probability climbs. Prices move continuously as new information emerges—team roster changes, recent form, or injury news can shift the odds within minutes. The market's depth and liquidity determine how easily you can enter or exit a position at the displayed price.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Level UP versus Aurora match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result—whether Level UP wins, Aurora wins, or the game ends in a draw. Resolution happens after the event is complete and the outcome is no longer in dispute, ensuring all traders have access to the same verified information before final settlement occurs.
Several factors could shift odds before the match begins. Roster announcements or last-minute player substitutions often trigger sharp moves, as do recent tournament results or head-to-head records between the teams. Patch updates to Dota 2 itself can alter hero viability and team preparation timelines. Community sentiment, coaching changes, or public statements from players may also influence trader positioning. Closer to match time, betting syndicates and sharp money typically flow in, potentially correcting any mispricing and tightening the odds as the event draws near.