TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B
predict
polymarket

Who will win L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy?

Volume:
$604,603

Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?

 - Polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 7, 2026

Closed: Jul 7, 2:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$304,799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$231,173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

N/A
N/A
—
$298
$11,561
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-2 Dota 2 match between L1ga Team and Nigma Galaxy at the Esports World Cup Group B, scheduled for July 7, 2024 at 7:30 AM ET. Markets span match outcome, individual game winners, and in-game events (barracks destruction, Roshan kills, rampages, ultra kills, and day/night cycle timing).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution sources, edge case handling, and timing criteria with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Official Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com); credible reporting consensus with video evidence if Dotabuff unavailable within 2 hours of event conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match Winner (BO2): Resolves to winning team if match completes; 50-50 if canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, ends in tie, or concludes via forfeit/disqualification/walkover before play begins.
  • Game 1/2 Winner: Resolves to winning team if game completes with a winner; 50-50 if game never played, not completed, or canceled/delayed beyond 7 days.
  • Both Teams Destroy Barracks (Game 1/2): Resolves Yes if both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks; No if either team destroys none; 50-50 if game never played or match canceled/delayed beyond 7 days; resolves based on pre-stoppage state if game forfeited mid-play.
  • Any Player Rampage (Game 1/2): Resolves Yes if any player achieves 5 enemy hero kills in rapid succession; No if no rampage occurs; 50-50 if game never played or match canceled/delayed beyond 7 days; resolves based on pre-stoppage state if game forfeited mid-play.
  • Any Player Ultra Kill (Game 1/2): Resolves Yes if any player achieves 4 enemy hero kills in rapid succession (or rampage); No if no ultra kill occurs; 50-50 if game never played or match canceled/delayed beyond 7 days; resolves based on pre-stoppage state if game forfeited mid-play.
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (Game 1/2): Resolves Yes if both teams kill Roshan at least once; No if either team does not; 50-50 if game never played or match canceled/delayed beyond 7 days; resolves based on pre-stoppage state if game forfeited mid-play.
  • Game Ends in Daytime (Game 1/2): Resolves Yes if game-ending action occurs during daytime phase (0:00-5:00, 10:00-15:00, 20:00-25:00, etc.); No if during nighttime phase; 50-50 if game never played or match canceled/delayed beyond 7 days; base in-game clock only, temporary ability-induced darkness excluded.
  • Game Remakes: If any game is remade, resolution is based solely on the remade game, not the original.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Series Clinch Before Game 2: If L1ga Team or Nigma Galaxy wins Game 1 in a BO2, Game 2 is not played. All Game 2 markets resolve 50-50 per unified rules.
  • Game Begins But Not Completed (Forfeit): In-game event markets (rampages, ultra kills, barracks, Roshan) resolve based on whether the condition was met prior to stoppage. If condition not met, resolves No. Match winner resolves 50-50 unless one team wins via opponent forfeit.
  • Match Canceled or Delayed Beyond 7 Days: All markets in the group resolve 50-50 if match is canceled entirely or delayed beyond 7 days from scheduled date (July 7) without play beginning.
  • Forfeit/Disqualification/Walkover Before Play: Match winner resolves 50-50. Game-specific markets resolve 50-50 if the game is never played.
  • Dotabuff Unavailable: If Dotabuff does not publish final results within 2 hours of event conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting including video evidence.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official Dotabuff publication or within 2 hours after event conclusion, whichever is earlier. If Dotabuff unavailable, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets resolve immediately upon match/game completion or cancellation determination.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between L1ga Team and Nigma Galaxy in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 7 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "L1ga Team" if L1ga Team win the match against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against L1ga Team. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Predict

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between L1ga Team and Nigma Galaxy in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 7 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "L1ga Team" if L1ga Team win the match against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against L1ga Team. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity across Polymarket and Predict for the L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy Dota 2 match. Traders on both platforms are pricing the outcome of this best-of-two matchup in the Esports World Cup Group B stage. The cross-platform view lets you compare how each community is assessing the teams' chances, revealing consensus odds and identifying where pricing diverges. Real-time volume and probability data help you track market sentiment as the event approaches.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover price. This market reflects what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing this market's implied probability to a sportsbook's odds can reveal value opportunities, especially in esports where sportsbook coverage remains limited and prediction markets may have deeper liquidity.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates price variations. Polymarket and Predict may also have slightly different user bases with varying levels of esports expertise or access to real-time team information. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but temporary spreads persist due to withdrawal delays, platform-specific trading costs, or regional user concentration. Monitoring both platforms helps you identify the most favorable entry and exit prices.

Team roster announcements, player injuries, or last-minute substitutions can shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent tournament results, scrim outcomes, and public statements from coaches or players may influence confidence in either side. Patch changes to Dota 2 that favor certain heroes or strategies could benefit one team over the other. Media coverage highlighting meta shifts or team momentum, as well as odds movements on related markets, often precede price moves here. Monitor esports news and team social channels for catalysts that could reshape expectations before the match begins.