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Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
polymarket
kalshi

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Volume:
$4,860,585

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?

 - Polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 3:15 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,064,719
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,971,079
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$760,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: IW (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,172
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 maps

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,977
N/A
N/A
$7,659
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$583
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$576
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 35

Intro

This market tracks whether Game 2 of the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal match between Iron Wing and Team Spirit at The International Playoffs will end in daytime. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome is 100.0%, drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. Watch for the match conclusion on August 20, 2026, which will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi share identical resolution logic, sources, and edge-case handling.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://www.dotabuff.com, with credible reporting fallback

Core resolution logic:

  • Match must be completed by September 2, 2026 deadline; otherwise resolve 50-50
  • Game-specific markets resolve based on completed game data; incomplete games resolve 50-50
  • Cancellations, forfeits, and walkovers resolve 50-50 unless explicitly stated otherwise
  • Day/night cycle determination uses in-game clock, not real-world time
  • Roshan kills, barracks destruction, Ultra Kills, and Rampages counted only if recorded in completed gameplay

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Remade Games: Resolution based solely on the remade game results
  • Name Discrepancies: Markets resolve based on underlying real-world match identity, not exact team name matching
  • Clinch Scenarios: Markets for unused games resolve 50-50 when series outcome is already determined
Timing: Resolution occurs after official match conclusion, with Dotabuff publication or credible reporting fallback within 2 hoursOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Iron Wing and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Iron Wing" if Iron Wing win the match against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Iron Wing. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If over 2.5 maps are played in the The International 2026: Team Spirit vs. Iron Wing Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Dota 2 playoff matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus views and volume trends. It tracks how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of various outcomes in this BO3 playoff series. You can see overall volume at $4,860,585, plus 24-hour volume of $4,802,344, helping you gauge market momentum and compare expectations for the Iron Wing versus Team Spirit clash.